Alibaba · Rumored
Qwen3.9-Max release date
Projected name. No report has named this version yet; it follows the lab's own numbering, and changes once reports agree on a name.
Window
Nov 8–20
Earliest
Nov 8
Best guess
Nov 9
Latest
Nov 20
Why this date
- Window tightness58
80% window spans 12 days (σ ≈ 9.8d).
- Corroboration25
1 distinct source, worth 0.7 weighted. Aggregator reposts count for little.
- Source authority0
No live dated claims; the date comes from the prediction market and shipping cadence.
The signal score is our own weighting of the evidence above. It is not a calibrated probability, and nothing here has been scored against real outcomes yet. Treat “Mixed” as the honest summary and the number as its arithmetic.
Every claim
1 from 1 source- PolymarketBetting marketOct 7
Polymarket, “Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by...?”: 52% by Nov 9, 68% by Nov 11, 77% by Nov 13, 85% by Nov 20. $24K traded.