OpenAI · Rumored
GPT-6.2 Sol release date
Projected name. No report has named this version yet; it follows the lab's own numbering, and changes once reports agree on a name.
Window
Nov 8–30
Earliest
Nov 8
Best guess
Nov 16
Latest
Nov 30
Why this date
GPT Sol has shipped every 45 days on average, and it’s been 40 days.
- Where this comes from98
2% cadence, 98% market.
- Window tightness51
80% window spans 22 days (σ ≈ 12.0d).
- Corroboration31
2 distinct sources, worth 0.9 weighted. Aggregator reposts count for little.
- Source authority0
No live dated claims; the date comes from the prediction market and shipping cadence.
The signal score is our own weighting of the evidence above. It is not a calibrated probability, and nothing here has been scored against real outcomes yet. Treat “Mixed” as the honest summary and the number as its arithmetic.
Every claim
2 from 2 sources- Reddit (r/LocalLLaMA, r/singularity)RepostNov 6
A Reddit post says leakers claimed GPT-6.2 Sol would be released, but it did not arrive.
- PolymarketBetting marketNov 2
Polymarket, “Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by...?”: 67% by Nov 15, 82% by Nov 30, 98% by Dec 31. $18K traded.