Z.ai · Rumored
GLM-5.4 release date
Projected name. No report has named this version yet; it follows the lab's own numbering, and changes once reports agree on a name.
Window
Nov 8 – Dec 6
Earliest
Nov 8
Best guess
Nov 20
Latest
Dec 6
Why this date
GLM has shipped every 92 days on average, and it’s been 86 days.
- Where this comes from98
2% cadence, 98% market.
- Window tightness50
80% window spans 28 days (σ ≈ 12.3d).
- Corroboration31
2 distinct sources, worth 0.9 weighted. Aggregator reposts count for little.
- Source authority0
No live dated claims; the date comes from the prediction market and shipping cadence.
The signal score is our own weighting of the evidence above. It is not a calibrated probability, and nothing here has been scored against real outcomes yet. Treat “Mixed” as the honest summary and the number as its arithmetic.
Every claim
2 from 2 sources- Reddit (r/LocalLLaMA, r/singularity)RepostNov 5
Reddit post relays that Z.ai's chief scientist Jie Tang revealed upcoming GLM-5.5 sizes of 32B, 122B and 256B, with no release timing given.
- PolymarketBetting marketSep 14
Polymarket, “Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?”: 73% by Nov 30, 89% by Dec 31. $31K traded.