DeepSeek · Long shot
DeepSeek-V4.1-Pro release date
Projected name. No report has named this version yet; it follows the lab's own numbering, and changes once reports agree on a name.
Window
Nov 8, 2026 – Jun 18, 2027
Earliest
Nov 8
Best guess
Jan 4
Latest
Jun 18
Why this date
DeepSeek V-series has shipped every 144 days on average, and it’s been 88 days.
- Activity without a date3
Builds, arena entries or version strings are visible but nobody has named a date. Baseline pulled 3% earlier; the window stays wide.
- Window tightness0
80% window spans 222 days (σ ≈ 131.0d).
- Corroboration25
1 distinct source, worth 0.7 weighted. Aggregator reposts count for little.
- Source authority0
No live dated claims; the date comes from shipping cadence.
The signal score is our own weighting of the evidence above. It is not a calibrated probability, and nothing here has been scored against real outcomes yet. Treat “Thin” as the honest summary and the number as its arithmetic.
Every claim
1 from 1 source- PolymarketBetting marketSep 26
Polymarket, “Next DeepSeek Pro released by...?”: 22% by Nov 30, 39% by Dec 31. $43K traded.