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DeepSeek · Long shot

DeepSeek-V4.1-Pro release date

Projected name. No report has named this version yet; it follows the lab's own numbering, and changes once reports agree on a name.

Window

Nov 8, 2026 – Jun 18, 2027

Earliest

Nov 8

Best guess

Jan 4

Latest

Jun 18

Thinin 57 dayssignal 8/100

Why this date

DeepSeek V-series has shipped every 144 days on average, and it’s been 88 days.

  • Activity without a date3

    Builds, arena entries or version strings are visible but nobody has named a date. Baseline pulled 3% earlier; the window stays wide.

  • Window tightness0

    80% window spans 222 days (σ ≈ 131.0d).

  • Corroboration25

    1 distinct source, worth 0.7 weighted. Aggregator reposts count for little.

  • Source authority0

    No live dated claims; the date comes from shipping cadence.

The signal score is our own weighting of the evidence above. It is not a calibrated probability, and nothing here has been scored against real outcomes yet. Treat “Thin” as the honest summary and the number as its arithmetic.

Every claim

1 from 1 source
  • PolymarketBetting marketSep 26

    Polymarket, “Next DeepSeek Pro released by...?”: 22% by Nov 30, 39% by Dec 31. $43K traded.

    no date givenno datesource