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Anthropic · Rumored

Claude Fable 5.5 release date

Projected name. No report has named this version yet; it follows the lab's own numbering, and changes once reports agree on a name.

Window

Nov 8–28

Earliest

Nov 8

Best guess

Nov 11

Latest

Nov 28

Mixedin 3 dayssignal 33/100

Why this date

  • Where this comes from100

    0% cadence, 100% market.

  • Window tightness49

    80% window spans 20 days (σ ≈ 12.9d).

  • Corroboration40

    2 distinct sources, worth 1.3 weighted. Aggregator reposts count for little.

  • Source authority0

    No live dated claims; the date comes from the prediction market and shipping cadence.

The signal score is our own weighting of the evidence above. It is not a calibrated probability, and nothing here has been scored against real outcomes yet. Treat “Mixed” as the honest summary and the number as its arithmetic.

Every claim

2 from 2 sources
  • PolymarketBetting marketOct 2

    Polymarket, “Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?”: 26% by Nov 9, 45% by Nov 10, 52% by Nov 12, 72% by Nov 19. $1.4M traded.

    no date givenno datesource
  • TestingCatalogSpotted in the wildSep 21

    Claude Fable 5.2 demonstrated in early test clips building JavaScript games and animations.

    no date givenno datesource